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Russian forces may be currently committing tactical and operational reserves to fighting in eastern Ukraine in an effort to maintain and potentially intensify the tempo of ongoing Russian offensive operations says the institute for the study of War adding that the Russian ability to make significant gains is still dependent on the level of
Western support for Ukraine and continued delays in Western Security assistance will increase the risk of oper optionally significant Russian gains in the long run difficult weather and terrain conditions in Spring 2024 will likely constrain effective mechanized maneuver on both sides of the line and further limit Russian capabilities to make significant
Tactical advances while the ground is still muddy Russian forces are reportedly preparing for a new offensive effort in late May or summer 2024 and Western Security assistance to Ukraine will likely play a significant role in determining the prospects of that effort