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Hello and welcome to State of the Union I’m Stefan groa in Brussels while the war in Ukraine approaches the two-year Mark there has been some sort of Shadow Boxing this week over potential peace talks in Davos Ukrainian president zelinsky got the Swiss government to host a peace conference at some point in
The future without inviting Russia then moscow’s foreign minister lavro shot back saying that Ukraine would not decide when to begin any serious talks and that the West was not interested in negotiations anyway the West meanwhile seemed to get its act together as far as further Military Support is concerned
Some EU countries committed to additional measures and the EU in general is now ready to approve its 50 billion Euro package soon with or without Hungary that has been blocking it for months I think it’s very important uh to engage with all 27 member states of the European Union to
Get um the 50 billion Euro for 4 years for Ukraine up and running and my personal priority is to have an agreement by 27 uh if this is not possible we are prepared for an agreement by 26 there is a renewed sense of urgency as aid for
Ukraine from its biggest owner by far the United States is mired in political infighting in Washington and then there is the prospect of Donald Trump returning to the White House next year however speculative at this point which could mean an end to us support for Ukraine altogether a nightmare for many
In Europe but a nightmare against which there is a great remedy according to the Belgian EU presidency just wake up if 2024 brings us America first again it will be more than ever Europe on on its own we should as Europeans not fear that Prospect we should embrace it we should
Embrace it by putting Europe on a more solid footing stronger more Sovereign more self-reliant true Trump won the Iowa caucuses overwhelmingly this week but it is still a long way to go to election day in November the US presidential election is not the only one with major ramifications for
Europe this year a week ago the people of Taiwan elected a new president who basically refuses to Cave before Beijing who considers the island to Runaway Province the European reaction to this Democratic expression was rather muted is Europe too fearful of negative reactions from Beijing joining me now is Maro olberg
Senior fellow at the indopacific program of the German Marshall fund and head of the Stockholm China Forum welcome to the program thanks for having me so the election in Taiwan was one of the most closely watched geopolitical events of the year yet in the runup of the vote
The European Union barely noticed it at all is Taiwan a two hot potato there is of course still some reluctance in commenting on it to some degree um presumably there is still some nervousness about offending China to some degree so there is a little bit of
A dance around some of that but overall people here are paying much more closely attention now than just a few years ago the official EU position is yes to bilateral ties with Taiwan but no political recognition or diplomatic recognition that being said do you see an opportunity for closer cooperation
Now that the election is over um I think what we can do is continue some of the cooperation that’s already been taking place or some some more close coordination we’ve had in the last couple of years I mean we’ve had some visits primarily from parliaments delegations visiting Taiwan um that is
One thing that has happened and then we’ve also seen some careful more careful ties at the ministerial level um where for instance Ministries um went to Taiwan talk to their Taiwanese counterparts and I think it’s particularly these smaller corporations establishing ties and making sure that Europe is invested in Taiwan where I see
The most benefit yeah you you mentioned these visits there were last year actually 28 visits um by uh EU parliamentary and government delegations uh a new record how do you interpret that interest on the European side Europe can’t really offer Taiwan that much in terms of security and concrete
Defense um I think most European Europe does not have the capacity to do that but one thing that Europe can do um is signal an interest in in Taiwan and try to signal to the Chinese government that Europe has a vested interest and stability in the Taiwan straight and
That Europe would be firmly opposed to any any attempt to change the status quo through military military means or through coercion all right marberg China expert at the German Marshall fund thank you so much for your time today appreciate it thanks for having me the presidential election in thawan
Was a thriller as it wasn’t clear during the campaign who would finally win such a situation is Unthinkable in Russia which will go to the polls in March any guest who will be the next Russian president H exactly this week Vladimir Putin’s campaign announced that more than 2 million Russians have signed documents
In support of him under Russian law independent candidates must gather at least 300,000 signatures from 40 regions or more to get on the ballot Putin has already collected 2.5 million signatures 1 million more than in 2018 if desired we can collect more the Kremlin spokesman said rather
Laconically well I’m sure you can and I’m also sure Putin will win in a way I find it rather reassuring that there are some things in life that never change that’s it for this Edition I’m Stefan groer thank you for watching have an excellent week